American Action Network conducted a poll in the special election to fill the seat vacant since the death of John Murtha in Pennsylvania's 12th Congressional district. The election will be held when Pennsylvanians' go to the polls on May 18th to vote for their primary candidates. The poll shows the two candidates, Republican Tim Burns and Democrat Mark Critz in a statistical dead heat. Burns captures 39% of the 300 likely voters responding to the poll while Critz leads by a single point. The poll has a 5.6% margin of error. Democratic voters outnumber Republicans by a margin of 2 to 1 but the area voted against Democrats in the last presidential election. The percentage of undecided voters at the time of the poll was a sizable 21%.
The majority of voters (52%) would prefer a Republican congressman who will be a check and balance to Barack Obama and the Democrats in Congress over a Democratic congressman who will help Obama and the Democrats pass their agenda (40%). Nine in ten Republicans (90%), six in ten Independents (60%) and even a third of Democrats (32%) prefer a Republican congressman. Three in four voters (75%) agree that if Washington isn’t going to listen to people like them, they will send a message on Election Day by voting against the people in power in Washington. Agreement with this sentiment transcends party lines as the majority of Republicans (96%), Democrats (64%) and Independents (80%) agrees that they will send a message to Washington with their vote. Similarly, 71% of voters agree that if the policies and changes being forced on them from Washington are not stopped, their children and grandchildren will not enjoy the same freedoms and opportunities that previous generations of Americans have enjoyed.Hotline on Call notes the GOP plans on running ads highlighting the Democratic candidates' connections with Pelosi and Obama. It's probably a safe bet Obama won't be making a campaign stop in Pennsylvania for this election. What a shame.