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Showing posts with label Blanche Lincoln. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Blanche Lincoln. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 9, 2010

GOP Ladies Night

Oh What a night. The big winners on this Super Tuesday of midterms: Meg Whitman GOP nomination Governor CA, Carly Fiorina GOP nomination CA Senate, Nikki Haley GOP nomination Governor South Carolina, Sharron Angle GOP nomination Nevada Senate and Blanche Lincoln who held on to the nomination for her Senate seat against a challenge on the left from Bill Halter. Blanche might as well enjoy the victory now because she will surely be defeated in November. Her challenger John Boozman leads her by a whopping 25 points as she heads off to defend her vote for ObamaCare in a state where 72% support repeal of the bill. Bye Bye Blanche.

Other notable winners included Senator Jim DeMint who faces a cake-walk to re-election in South Carolina and locally former Eagles tackle Jon Runyan won the GOP nomination to challenge John Adler for New Jersey's 3rd Congressional District seat.  Runyan had no trouble tackling the question of whether he lacked sufficient experience to handle the job:
"People question me all the time about my experience," said Runyan. "They question my experience in politics, and the first thing I always tell them is yes, I have no experience raising taxes over and over. I have no experience increasing the debt in a state."
Runyan seems to have developed a flair for this business. He sounded positively Reaganesque in that response.  Though there were many more winners in the primaries held in 12 states, the closely-watched races were dominated by a field of talented Republican women.   I am sure Senator DeMint and Mr. Runyan won't mind a little Kool and the Gang in celebration of "Ladies Night:"

Thursday, February 4, 2010

Fiddle Dee Dee Barack Whatever Will We Do?

It's too bad Blanche Lincoln didn't roll out this performance before the deadline for this year's Oscar nominations. She delivered quite a stellar performance as the southern belle afraid the liberals are coming. However will we stop them?



Obama answers Frankly my dear, I don't give a damn:
If we don't pass this, he told the assembled Democrats, "I don't know what differentiates us from the other guys." It's nice to believe good things, but no one keeps their home, or pays for their doctor visit, because Democrats believe good things. "If anyone is searching for an answer to the lessons of Massachusetts," Obama continued, "I promise you, it's not to do nothing."
So what if we lose a couple of distressed southern belles, the failure to pass health care will keep the voters home in Illinois argues Ezra Klein:
Evidence for that came in Tuesday's Illinois primary. Democrats were choosing their candidate to try to keep Obama's Senate seat. Republicans were looking for a standard-bearer able to take it. The turnout numbers were scary for the Democrats. As Jon Chait noticed, "GOP primary turnout is up 11 percent over 2004. Democratic turnout has dropped 29 percent." That's what elections looks like in a world where 59 Senate Democrats give up on health-care reform. The base gives up and stays home. And come the day after the election, those Senate Democrats will find themselves spending plenty of time home, as well.
But, but they have nowhere to go, whatever will they do?
 “It wasn’t a discussion about how to get from Point A to Point B; it was a discussion about the lack of a plan to get from Point A to Point B,” said a person who attended the meeting. “Many of the members were frustrated, but one person really expressed his frustration.”

Senators did not want to press Obama on healthcare reform in front of television cameras for fear of putting him in an awkward spot.
And the Oscar goes to....
 Via Memeorandum

Tuesday, February 2, 2010

Stinks to be Blanche Lincoln These Days

PPP has a new poll testing the shark infested waters for Senator Blanche Lincoln (D- AR) and finds them not safe for Democrats.  PPP tested potential Democratic candidates against GOP candidate John Boozman, expected to enter the ring this week, all came up short:
That's an indication Arkansas just doesn't want to send another Democrat to Washington this year, at least at this point nine months before the election. Obama's at a 38/58 negative approval rating in the state, its voters are opposed to his health care plan by a 30/61 margin, and only 27% approve of the job Congressional Democrats are doing to 63% who disapprove. 
John Boozman leads incumbent Lincoln 56-33 in the poll.  Her approval is horrific with just 27% approving and 62% disapproving.  Among members of her own party she has a 51% approval but just 17% of Independents and 9% of Republicans approve of her performance in office.   Health care is her problem:


A look inside the health care issue gives a good indication of how Lincoln has managed now to get it from all sides. 61% of voters in the state oppose the President's plan, and among those folks Lincoln's approval rating is just 8% with 79% of them expressing the belief that she's too liberal. But she's managed to antagonize a lot of the people who support the Democratic health care plan as well- 36% of them think she's too conservative and her approval with them is just 57%. Barack Obama's at 95% with that same group of voters.


PPP admits their polling sample is slightly tilted towards the Democrats but argues the split among Dems, Independents and Republicans reflects the electorate overall.  In other words this is the best case scenario for Blanche and it is not pretty.

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Tuesday, January 26, 2010

Blanche Balks at Reconciliation

Unless Blanche Lincoln has more up her sleeve, I guess we can assume this is her big announcement:
Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) will oppose Dem efforts to move health care legislation through Congress using budget reconciliation, hurting Dems' chances for using the controversial parliamentary maneuver to pass a reform bill.

"I am opposed to and will fight against any attempts to push through changes to the Senate health insurance reform legislation by using budget reconciliation tactics that would allow the Senate to pass a package of changes to our original bill with 51 votes," Lincoln said in a statement on Tuesday. "I have successfully fought for transparency throughout Senate deliberations on health care, and I will continue to do so."

"I will not accept any last-minute efforts to force changes to health insurance reform issues through budget reconciliation, and neither will Arkansans. We have worked too long and too hard on this reform effort - we need to get it right," she said.
I have to have a little chuckle at her claim she successfully fought for transparency, did she do that on CSPAN?   I might have missed that.   Lincoln's vote for the Senate health care bill has her in trouble with her fellow Arkansans, a point not lost on the powers that be in the DSCC who have been rumored to be pressuring her to retire.  Earlier today she announced  she had over $5 million on hand in her campaign coffers.  Lincoln appears to be posturing here hoping to convince her constituents she gets the message while sending a message to Democrats they won't be getting rid of her that easily.

Lincoln's announcement confirms rumors Democrats continue to pursue alternate paths to health care legislation despite a clear message from voters in Massachusetts to put the brakes on.  If Democrats were to attempt reconciliation the bill would either need to be pared down to strictly budgets items such as tax increases or medicaid cuts in order to bypass the need for 60 votes.  This would leave the bill finally passed full of holes that would fail to meet the intended purpose of the legislation.  There is no budgetary effect to a health insurance mandate, for example, which would be challenged endlessly as inappropriate for inclusion in a budgetary procedure.


If Democrats were able to trim down the bill only to its budgetary elements, Lincoln's vote would not be necessary since the procedure requires only 51 votes.  Perhaps she is signaling the abandonment of the reform by other key moderates such as Evan Bayh and Ben Nelson.  Still, voters in their home states are already well aware their Senators voted for the unpopular reform.  Much of this appears to be political theater though we should give some kudos for the transparency of their efforts.  Exit stage right...

Monday, January 25, 2010

What's Blanche Lincoln's Big Announcement

Blanche Lincon on twitter:
Stay tuned for an important campaign announcement tomorrow morning.
Is this a retirement announcement?
Arkansas Blog H/T Hot Air
 A well-known Washington insider has been telling Arkies this weekend that the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee is trying to talk Sen. Blanche Lincoln out of running for re-election.

That would open the door for a Wes Clark candidacy. And U.S. Rep. Mike Ross would be in the race in a heartbeat. Then comes a deluge of candidates in the 4th District. Forget for a moment what a Boozman candidacy does for the House of Dominoes on the Republican side from Senate down.
The Left leaning Swing State Project comments on Boozman:
 Mason-Dixon takes a first look at the Arkansas Senate race (on behalf of the Arkansas News Bureau), and while the results are still pretty ugly, they're not as bad as some other pollsters have seen it -- to the extent that there's actually a path to victory for Lincoln. Not that it's really in her control: she just needs to hope that the GOP manages to nominate one of the seven dwarves populating the GOP field, instead of the somewhat more appealing state Sen. Gilbert Baker (who leads her by 4)... or more ominously, that Rep. John Boozman doesn't decide to get into the race, at which point the game would likely be over. 
NWA online's
 John Boozman will win the U.S. Senate race if he chooses to get in. I believe he’ll get in.
Personally I hope she stays in to face the voters she sold down the pike with her vote on health care but Wesley Clark doesn't have me quaking in my boots regardless.  

Thursday, January 21, 2010

Despair, Disarray and Secret Relief - Oh My!

Josh Marshsall at TPM posted an email he received from a Senate staffer, anonymous natch, who laments the odd sense of relief amidst the despair at the sudden realization of their fate come November. Here's the highlight:
The worst is that I can't help but feel like the main emotion people in the caucus are feeling is relief at this turn of events. Now they have a ready excuse for not getting anything done. While I always thought we had the better ideas but the weaker messaging, it feels like somewhere along the line Members internalized a belief that we actually have weaker ideas. They're afraid to actually implement them and face the judgement of the voters. That's the scariest dynamic and what makes me think this will all come crashing down around us in November.

If they only had a brain they would have been listening to their constituents who have been screaming at the top of their lungs enough already. Instead they lined up to cast their votes for the horrific health care legislation that grew increasingly more unpopular every day. Still, I have to believe the likes of Blanche Lincoln, Evan Bayh and Ben Nelson would secretly be quite relieved to know they might have an out instead of casting another fateful vote for the dreaded bill.

Lincoln and Nelson have seen their job approval numbers tumble in recent days.  Lincoln currently "enjoys" a 38% job approval with 34% favorability.  Nelson has been booed in restaurants and other public events.  Others, including Barney Frank were so stunned by the results they all but declared the health care bill dead.  Ding Dong!  Ironically one of the districts that voted heavily for Brown was the same one where Frank must seek reelection, how sad.  After a good stiff drink of Dem Kool Aid, however, Frank walked back his strong remarks..  Here's the walk back:
In an interview with TPMDC this evening, Rep. Barney Frank (D-MA) reversed course--apologizing for a harsh statement he released last night in the wake of the Massachusetts special election, and saying, explicitly, that if he's assured the bill will be fixed down the line, he'd vote for the Senate health care bill.

"I'm easy. I'm strongly inclined to vote for the thing, even though I don't like the health care tax thing," Frank told me. "But you know, I was ready to vote for the bill when I had people on the left yelling at me not to vote for it. So you know I'll vote for any of it... to try and move the process along."
He's easy.  That must be some Kool Aid they serve in the Democrat's canteen.

The rest of the staffer's email is a rather long history of the failures of the Democrats to pass legislation the staffer knew to be far better than Republican alternatives.  It appears the current group may be following the same path despite the fact they enjoyed unprecedented majorities.   The staffer seems to believe they dragged their feet and now they despair:
It was disheartening when it seemed that Reid was allowing McConnell's disingenuous narrative of "it's always taken 60 votes to get anything done" to take hold, but we were later even saved from that when Specter switched. But it seems we've spent the entire year moving our own goalposts farther away. Things have gotten so bad that in roaming the halls today it feels exactly as if we lost the Majority last night.
Could it be they didn't have enough confidence in their own policies to even entertain the notion they could convince Repulicans to come aboard?  While that is possible, we certainly saw an awful lot of hubris over the past year, particularly in the House.  Now they know they face certain losses in November, some Democrats in denial may have convinced themselves voters will forget between now and then.  I certainly wouldn't bet on that but plunging ahead to pass policies some Democrats seem to doubt is certain suicide.  Should be an interesting 10 months or so watching them wait it out.

Saturday, November 21, 2009

Live Stream Senate Health Care Debate

Via Memeorandum The Hill reports Harry Reid can't understand why anyone would be opposed to a vote opening the debate, in fact he thinks that is positively Orwellian:
"Now he said, anyone who votes for this is going to have a lot of explaining to do," Reid said during his floor speech today. "Now that is really Orwellian. That is Orwellian. Have a lot of explaing to do if they allow a debate to continue?"

Reid urged senators to support the motion to proceed scheduled for 8 p.m., saying that is only a motion to continue debate, not a vote for the legislation itself.
"All were asking today is to have a debate on it. I mean, why would anyone be afraid in supposedly the greatest debating society in the world to debate healthcare," he said. "What are they afraid of?"
They're afraid of the shark infested waters after they walk the plank Harry.  The people to watch according to  Politico:
 things were looking good at daybreak, as Reid can be reasonably confident of 59 votes, with Sen. Ben Nelson (D-Neb.) a yes vote and Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-La.) leaning yes. The holdout: Sen.Blanche Lincoln (D-Ark.), who has been a fan of reform generally but faces a tough 2010 re-election fight.
We'll likely see a number of Republican television ads in the making as this vote will surely be fodder in the coming midterms.  Here is the live stream of the Senate debate for those who want to follow along:

Free TV : Ustream


Monday, October 5, 2009

Public Option Propaganda Continues

The public option propaganda continues, sustaining itself on a Los Angeles Times reprint of the "Obama is secretly pushing the public option" article that appeared in the Chicago Tribune yesterday.   Chuck Schumer reports that things are moving along just blissfully in his efforts to include the public option in a final bill.  It is positively sunshine kisses and rainbow lollipops all around from his report:

"Inside, we were all happy," Schumer said, adding that he and other Democratic senators are targeting Baucus, along with Sens. Kent Conrad (D-N.D.) and Blanche Lincoln (D-Ark.) for additional votes on the public option.
He maintained that the final bill to pass through all of Congress would have a public option, whether the Senate passes it initially or has to rely on a budget manuever in the conference report to avoid the 60-vote filibuster threshold.
McJoan, diarist at  Daily KOS, was celebrating in the end zone one minute, while unloading  on Blanche Lincoln the next.  Meaningless polls showing the voters in Nebraska are just wild about the public option are de rigueur in chastising those timid moderates who can't see everyone loves the public option.  I am stunned that Blanche Lincoln is not convinced of the massive support in her state for the public option after seeing that all important Daily KOS poll.

It could be these moderates are worried about their political hides come midterm elections.  The President, however, is only really concerned about his own re-election.  Chuck Todd makes this revealing statement in the following clip as the Hardball cheerleaders rationalize the lampooning of their hero on Saturday Night Live.  Chuck makes the point very close to the end:



Will the moderates vote for a public option that voters fear will cause them to lose their current health care coverage? It's highly unlikely unless these noble moderates are willing to sacrifice their seats.

H/T: Memeorandum
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