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Showing posts with label Kathy Dahlkemper. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Kathy Dahlkemper. Show all posts

Tuesday, October 12, 2010

If Christine O'Donnell can't win ............ UPDATED New Ad "Tax Man"

Then why is the DSCC sending reinforcements to Delaware for Coons?
Is the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee a bit concerned about the potential impact of the Tea Party in Delaware or have the Democrats completely written off Carol Shea-Porter running for New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District?

I ask because the Democrats have sent the lady who was on the ground running operations for Carol Shea-Porter’s congressional bid to Delaware to be the Field Director for Chris Coons canvassing operation.
Naturally this also means Carol Shea-Porter joins the ranks of lost-cause Dems recently removed from life support:
As Republicans made new investments in at least 10 races across the country, including two Democratic seats here in eastern Ohio, Democratic leaders took steps to pull out of some races entirely or significantly cut their financial commitment in several districts that the party won in the last two election cycles.

Representatives Steve Driehaus of Ohio, Suzanne M. Kosmas of Florida and Kathy Dahlkemper of Pennsylvania were among the Democrats who learned that they would no longer receive the same infusion of television advertising that party leaders had promised. Party strategists conceded that these races and several others were slipping out of reach.
Good thing these folks voted for that death panel isn't it?  It doesn't look as though there will be a call from the Governor to save the  Dead Dems Walking so they might as well try to save Coons skin while it still looks like it can be saved.  Naturally Dems would prefer to pour resources into a reliably liberal vote like Coons as opposed to say the  Governor of West Virginia who never met a Dem agenda item he didn't suddenly find toxic.  It is only a matter of time before the voters of Delaware figure out Coons will be a rubber stamp for that agenda.  Rubber stamp votes for the Obama agenda seem to have a short shelf life these days.  I would say it is time for another poll in Delaware.

UPDATE:  Ask and you shall receive:

The latest Fox/Pulse poll of 1000 Likely Delaware voters doesn't hold much hope for O'Donnell. It really doesn't show any movement towards O'Donnell at this point. Moreover, O'Donnell's support appears a bit softer than does Coons' support. Unless Dems are seeing something different in internals, which seems unlikely, Democrats appear to be funneling resources into the state to preserve a win. O'Donnell needs to shake things up here and soon.

And again ask and you shall receive.  Here is the latest O'Donnell campaign ad which looks like it has the potential to shake things up:


Friday, October 8, 2010

Dead Congressmen Walking: Cook Moves 12 House Races to Lean Republican

Barring a late call from the Governor, Cook Political considers the following Democratic incumbents Dead Congressmen Walking: Ann Kirkpatrick, Betsy Markey, Alan Grayson, Suzanne Kosmas, Debbie Halvorson, Steve Driehaus, Mary Jo Kilroy, Kathy Dahlkemper, Chet Edwards, Glen Nye, Tom Perriello, and Steve Kagen.  The lone Republican in the group is Louisiana's Joseph Cao who represents a D+25 district:
Longtime readers will observe that while we rarely rate unindicted incumbents worse than a Toss Up to win reelection, today we are moving 13 incumbents, 12 Democrats and one Republican, into the opposite party’s column to reflect their underdog status. It’s not that these endangered members’ prospects have suddenly taken a turn for the worse, or even deteriorated gradually over the last several months. Most of these members have trailed all year, and it’s simply exceedingly rare to see a candidate in their position in October come back to win reelection, especially now that early voting will be underway in many states very soon.

We have historically treated the Toss Up column for incumbents as the political equivalent of the intensive care unit, and haven’t commonly used gradations of danger worse than Toss Up. But we have seen some incumbents that have fallen far enough behind and remain behind for so long that we could no longer justify referring to their races as Toss Ups. Overall, 51 House Democrats have trailed their GOP challengers in at least one public or private poll taken this year, a higher number than we have ever seen before. At this point in 2006, fewer than 20 House Republicans trailed their Democratic opponents.
Please give me a moment to compose myself over the imminent demise of Alan Grayson.  I am all verklempt so please talk among yourselves.  I will leave you with the list of the 25 races moved in the latest round of rating changes, 24 of which favor Republicans:

  • NEW YORK | District 25: Likely Democrat to Lean Democrat 
  • WISCONSIN | District 8: Toss Up to Lean Republican 
  • VIRGINIA | District 5: Toss Up to Lean Republican 
  • TEXAS | District 17: Toss Up to Lean Republican
  • VIRGINIA | District 2: Toss Up to Lean Republican 
  • PENNSYLVANIA | District 3: Toss Up to Lean Republican 
  • OREGON | District 5: Lean Democrat to Toss Up 
  • OHIO | District 15: Toss Up to Lean Republican 
  • OHIO | District 13: Lean Democrat to Likely Democrat 
  • OHIO | District 1: Toss Up to Lean Republican 
  • NORTH CAROLINA | District 2: Likely Democrat to Lean Democrat
  • NEW YORK | District 23: Lean Democrat to Toss Up 
  • NEW JERSEY | District 3: Lean Democrat to Toss Up 
  • MISSISSIPPI | District 4: Likely Democrat to Lean Democrat 
  • MINNESOTA | District 1: Likely Democrat to Lean Democrat 
  • LOUISIANA | District 2: Toss Up to Lean Democrat 
  • KENTUCKY | District 6: Lean Democrat to Toss Up 
  • ILLINOIS | District 11: Toss Up to Lean Republican 
  • GEORGIA | District 2: Lean Democrat to Toss Up 
  • FLORIDA | District 24: Toss Up to Lean Republican 
  • FLORIDA | District 8: Toss Up to Lean Republican 
  • CONNECTICUT | District 5: Likely Democrat to Lean Democrat 
  • COLORADO | District 4: Toss Up to Lean Republican 
  • ARIZONA | District 8: Lean Democrat to Toss Up 
  • ARIZONA | District 1: Toss Up to Lean Republican

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